The Verizon building at 379 Pearl St. New York. Photo by Gary Denham
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Fienberg insists that the rarity of terrorist events (and terrorists themselves) makes predicting their occurrence a fraught crapshoot. He says that intelligence analysts lack training data – indicative patterns of behavior drawn from observing multiple iterations of a complex event – to verify whether their models have predictive validity.In a 2006 interview with the New York Times, an FBI official joked that the endless stream of leads meant more "calls to Pizza Hut” or contacting a “school teacher with no indication they've ever been involved in international terrorism - case closed."
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