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When it comes to the Alabama Senate race, no one knows anything

by Evan McMorris-Santoro
Dec 11 2017, 8:04pm

MIDLAND, Alabama — Either Roy Moore is definitely going to win the Alabama special election Tuesday or Doug Jones is going to pull off an upset win that would have seemed unfathomable months ago when the race to replace Jeff Sessions in the Senate got underway.

That’s it. That’s the news.

As the race approaches the wire, no one is really sure what’s going to happen. A big public poll from Fox News put Jones, the Democratic nominee up 10 points Monday. But a source close to the Moore campaign told VICE News that the Republican nominee’s recent internal polling showed Moore up 5-7 points. Other public polls back a Moore lead.

On his final night of campaigning, Moore held a rally with Steve Bannon, Louis Gohmert and Sheriff David Clarke, among other notable conservative stars, in the first political effort he’s made in recent days. Moore wasn’t even in the state of Alabama over the weekend, opting instead to fly to Philadelphia to see the Army-Navy game.

Jones’ weekend couldn’t have been more different, pushing hard against the finish line, bringing in national Democratic surrogates, and sending canvassers fanning out across the places Democrats will need to turn out if they want to win.

It’s a tale of two strategies: The Donald Trump model — big events, not much traditional campaigning — and the more traditional campaign, centered on a big get-out-the-vote push.

Which will work? No one can say for sure until tomorrow.